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Illinois has been taking a lot of fairly justifiable guff about the state legislature's recent decision to raise the individual and corporate income tax rates. Wisconsin and Indiana have been running ads encouraging Illinois businesses to pull up stakes and go.

I was, however, surprised to hear a radio commercial with New Jersey Governor Chris Christie encouraging Illinois businesses to move to his state.

When New Jersey is touting a more favorable business climate than the one in your state, then you know your state is in trouble.

*sigh*

Date: 2011-01-26 01:54 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] catsittingstill.livejournal.com
I vaguely recall hearing something about this--except I recall, as well, hearing that New Jersey *doesn't* have a more favorable business climate; they're apparently just trolling for businessmen who don't do their research.

Date: 2011-01-26 02:03 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] docstrange.livejournal.com
Aw, it's not all bad. MA still has a higher personal income tax rate. For now.

Date: 2011-01-26 02:14 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kevinnickerson.livejournal.com
I'm dubious on the amount of business movement that will occur. I know it's a big mantra, but... My reasoning is:

The conventional wisdom is that small-business is the backbone of the economy.
Most small businesses are located where they are, not because the owner went looking for where to create a business, but because that's where the owner was.
Most people really don't ever move far from where they were born/raised.
Even if they want to move, say due to taxes, geographic factors are often the overriding issue (geographic here means who else is located in the area).
And, of course, moving a business is a major expense.

I went digging a while back to see if I find any actual data on business movement. I failed. I found a magazine industry devoted to the idea, but no data.

If nothing else, Illinois is giving us a marvelous chance to try the experiment. What will really happen? As always, I expect the truth to be in the middle. A (relative) few businesses will move, but there will be no major run or collapse. I further predict there will be a lot of grumbling.

Date: 2011-01-26 03:07 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] johnridley.livejournal.com
I think the real issue is, will any businesses that are transitioning from small to medium-sized set up their satellite operations in other states? I mean, if you have an operation in the Chicago area where you're shipping stuff from a warehouse and you need a bigger warehouse, it's not much of an imposition to set it up just over the border in Wisconsin. Over the course of a few years, the operation could be gradually moved there, leaving business offices in Chicago. Or maybe not even that. And the business might be re-incorporated in Wisconsin, with the business office becoming the branch.

Then if the business is ever sold, the new owners may very well close the original offices. It's a setup for continuing hurt over the course of years.

Date: 2011-01-26 04:25 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kevinnickerson.livejournal.com
While that's a possible scenario for *a* business, will it really happen? Happen enough to make any kind of measurable effect on the economy of a state? I'm dubious. Hence my wish for data.

Economics could be an experimental science, but nobody wants to be the subject of the experiments.

Date: 2011-01-26 04:22 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jcw-da-dmg.livejournal.com
Well Christie is certainly TOUTING it as such - apparently some survey which measures such things has NJ ranked lower on an over all "friendly-to-business" scale.

Date: 2011-01-27 03:23 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] groblek.livejournal.com
It could be worse - California could be the one claiming a better business climate. Then you'd know you've hit bottom. (Says the Californian) :)

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